Super Long Range Models...

They are showing absolutely no swell for the beginning of the week that I'm going. Hopefully, the models are wrong (that far out, there is a high degree of error). Maybe it is a good thing, but I'm assuming it is not. I'd prefer to see some potentially large storm developing under Australia in the long range forecasts. However, I also do not like to see a ton of swell just before going to a destination (this is certainly not the case - it looks pretty bad there right now, so I'm optimistic). Usually, when there is a ton swell or it is ideal just prior, it means that when you go, it will be mellow or the conditions will have changed for the worse. I guess that is just how weather is, heatwaves and coldsnaps always break. In Nica, we caught about 1/2 of a solid swell, which kept us busy for about 3 days. We also capitalized on a pulse on the Thursday (one day swell). So, this is what I do, I start looking at all the charts and put my amateur wave forecasting hat on (I'm pretty bad at it - I just cannot help it when I'm this fired up).